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To own Qorvo, you need to believe its RF and analog portfolio can offset choppy smartphone demand and gradually diversify away from a single dominant customer. The latest earnings beat, driven by High-Performance Analog, supports that near term, but it does not remove the key risk that 41% of revenue still comes from one customer, leaving results vulnerable if that relationship weakens or device demand slows further.
Among recent announcements, Qorvo’s Q1 FY2027 report is the most relevant here: revenue of US$784.8 million was slightly lower than a year ago, but net income rose to US$85.8 million and adjusted earnings topped expectations. That jump in profitability, helped by stronger analog mix, has coincided with analysts lifting estimates, which could reinforce the earnings re-rating story if Qorvo continues to improve margins while smartphone exposure remains under pressure.
But despite the upbeat quarter, the concentration in a single customer is still a risk investors should be very aware of if...
Read the full narrative on Qorvo (it's free!)
Qorvo's narrative projects $4.0 billion revenue and $597.6 million earnings by 2029. This requires 2.5% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $258.6 million earnings increase from $339.0 million today.
Uncover how Qorvo's forecasts yield a $91.46 fair value, a 3% downside to its current price.
Before this quarter, the most optimistic analysts were assuming Qorvo could reach about US$4.4 billion in revenue and US$651 million in earnings, which is far more upbeat than consensus. Against that, the latest analog driven beat and your view on customer concentration risk might push you closer to or further from that bullish camp, so it is worth weighing both narratives side by side.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Qorvo - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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