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Ashtrom Group (TASE:ASHG) Shares Jumped, What Is Behind The Move?

Simply Wall St·09/02/2026 07:30:06
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Ashtrom Group (TASE:ASHG) has drawn fresh investor attention after reporting second quarter 2026 results that combined higher sales with a shift from profit to loss at both quarterly and half year levels.

Ashtrom Group's latest earnings update landed alongside a sharp 1 day share price return of 7.75% to ₪60.46, although the share price is still down 16.84% year to date and 12.44% over 90 days. The 3 year total shareholder return of 22.80% points to longer term momentum that has slowed in recent months.

Compare Ashtrom Group's post earnings share price move with curated construction and infrastructure peers by scanning list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (439 results) for potentially steadier balance sheets in the same space.

With Ashtrom Group shares jumping yet still trading well below recent levels, the question now is where fair value really sits given the gap between today's price and the range of estimates investors are using.

Price to Earnings of 112.5x: Is it justified?

On current numbers Ashtrom Group is trading on a P/E of 112.5x, which anchors expectations far above many construction peers despite the share price being down 16.84% year to date to ₪60.46.

The P/E ratio tells you how much investors are paying today for each unit of recent earnings. For a construction and property group like Ashtrom Group, a high P/E can signal that the market is placing a premium on the mix of activities across Israeli construction, materials, international projects, renewable energy and income producing properties, even while headline earnings have been under pressure.

That premium looks stretched on the available data. Earnings have declined by 44.4% per year over the past 5 years, profit margins are currently 1.3% compared with 5.6% a year earlier, and return on equity is 1.3% which is described as low. With ASHG also reported as trading above an estimated future cash flow value of ₪9.88 in the SWS DCF model, the current multiple leaves little room for disappointment in how profits evolve.

The comparison with peers is also stark. Ashtrom Group's 112.5x P/E is described as expensive against both the IL Construction industry average of 45.5x and a peer average of 106.8x. Those gaps suggest the stock is priced well above what similar companies command, with no fair ratio available that might point to a level the market could reasonably move toward instead. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 112.5x (OVERVALUED)

However, Ashtrom Group's thin 1.3% margins and low 1.3% return on equity mean that any further profit pressure could quickly challenge such a rich P/E story.

Find out about the key risks to this Ashtrom Group narrative.

Another view on Ashtrom Group using cash flows

The rich P/E story around Ashtrom Group looks very different once you switch to cash flows. Our DCF model suggests a future cash flow value of ₪9.88 per share compared with the current ₪60.46 price, which points to an overvalued signal on this measure as well. That gap raises a simple question for investors: Which yardstick feels more reliable when earnings and margins are under strain?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

ASHG Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2026
ASHG Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Ashtrom Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 257 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

If the tone of this Ashtrom Group review feels cautious, that is intentional. Consider reviewing the underlying risk data for yourself, starting with these 4 important warning signs

Looking for more Ashtrom Group sized investment ideas?

If Ashtrom Group has you rethinking your portfolio, do not stop here. The next moves you make across other opportunities could matter even more.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.