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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 33.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 66.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 24.1%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 56.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 19.1%.

Zhitongcaijing·09/02/2026 12:17:25
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 33.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 66.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 24.1%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 56.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 19.1%.