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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 39.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 60.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 29.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 16.1%.

Zhitongcaijing·09/03/2026 12:49:13
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 39.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 60.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 29.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 54.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 16.1%.