WaFd (WAFD) has drawn fresh attention after recent trading, with the stock closing at US$35.98 as of 2 September 2026. Investors are reassessing its returns across different time frames and business fundamentals.
Over the past month WaFd has given up some ground, with a 30-day share price return of negative 4.5%. However, the year-to-date share price return of 12% and a 1-year total shareholder return of 16.3% suggest that longer-term momentum is still intact.
Scan other bank stocks showing similar return profiles and business resilience using our curated list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (53 results) as a comparison set to WaFd.
Bulls point to WaFd’s positive multi year shareholder returns and solid earnings base, while bears focus on the recent pullback and questions about how much good news is already in the price. Which case does the valuation support next?
The most followed narrative for WaFd currently points to a fair value of $39 per share compared with the recent close at $35.98. That gap rests on a detailed set of revenue, margin and earnings assumptions that anchor the analyst consensus view.
The Build 2030 shift toward true commercial banking and small business relationships, including reorganized business, corporate and commercial real estate banking teams, positions WaFd to grow higher yielding C&I and CRE loans, supporting faster revenue and earnings growth.
Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative.
Want to see what powers that $39 fair value for WaFd? The narrative leans heavily on assumptions related to steady top line growth, firm profit margins and a future earnings multiple that assumes investors keep paying up for consistent profitability. It also examines which specific earnings and revenue paths would need to align for that scenario to hold.
Result: Fair Value of $39 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, WaFd’s story could shift if credit costs rise more sharply than recent net charge offs suggest, or if loan growth falls short of Build 2030 ambitions.
Find out about the key risks to this WaFd narrative.
The SWS DCF model presents a more cautious view of WaFd. On this basis, the stock at $35.98 is trading above an estimated future cash flow value of $34.78, which suggests a slight premium rather than a clear discount. Which perspective seems more realistic to you?
To understand how sensitive this cash flow view is to small changes in assumptions, take a closer look at the full calculation in our SWS DCF model. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out WaFd for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 52 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Given the mixed signals around WaFd today, it helps to move fast and test the numbers yourself instead of relying on headlines. To see what the market is already optimistic about, review the 3 key rewards.
If WaFd has your attention, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist with focused stock ideas built from the same kind of data driven logic you have just seen.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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