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Learn Why The Bull Case For Kyndryl Stock Could Change Following Broadcom VMware Expansion

Simply Wall St·09/08/2026 17:25:22
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  • Kyndryl Holdings announced an expanded alliance with Broadcom in late August 2026, adding end-to-end consulting and managed services for VMware Cloud Foundation and Tanzu to help enterprises modernize, secure, and scale mission-critical private and hybrid cloud environments.
  • The push to build sovereign, AI-ready private clouds and invest in several thousand VCF-certified Kyndryl consultants highlights a shift toward higher value, recurring services that focus on automation, AI governance, and cyber recovery for complex VMware estates.
  • The focus now turns to how Kyndryl Holdings’ broader VMware Cloud Foundation partnership with Broadcom might reshape the existing investment narrative.
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Kyndryl Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

Owning Kyndryl Holdings comes down to believing the company can keep shifting from legacy, pre spin contracts toward higher margin, recurring cloud and AI focused services without letting revenue erosion get out of hand. The Broadcom VMware Cloud Foundation expansion fits that story because it leans into complex, multi cloud estates where Kyndryl already manages large VMware footprints. The near term swing factor still sits in deal timing and renewals, since pushed out contracts and older low margin work can pressure both sales and profit. The biggest operational risk remains execution on large account transitions and cash flow support for debt.

The expanded Broadcom alliance around VMware Cloud Foundation is the announcement that really matters here. It ties directly into catalysts that rely on consulting and managed services around hybrid cloud, AI governance and cyber recovery, which are areas analysts already cite as drivers of higher quality, recurring revenue. It also gives Kyndryl Holdings more ways to move customers from older, pre spin agreements into newer frameworks that can support margin improvement. Execution risk does not disappear, though, because complex migrations and agentic AI guardrails across big VMware estates can still slow signings or create delivery strain.

That said, there is a less obvious pressure point in Kyndryl Holdings’ story that only really shows up when you look closely at ...

Read the full Kyndryl Holdings narrative to see the case behind these numbers.

Kyndryl Holdings' current earnings of $198.0 million are set against analyst expectations for $472.5 million by 2029, which would be an earnings increase of about $274.5 million. The same consensus view implies 2029 revenue of $15.2b and assumes revenue stays broadly flat over the next few years, so the forecast profile relies more on margin expansion than top line growth.

Kyndryl Holdings' forecasts flag fair value at $14.10 against a $13.15 share price, indicating a 7% upside to its current price that could narrow quickly.

NYSE:KD 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:KD 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

You also see a very different read on Kyndryl Holdings from the most cautious analysts. They worry that slower AI project rollouts and elongated deals keep revenue slipping about 2% a year, with earnings nearer $433.2 million on roughly $14.2b of sales by 2029. Those pre news estimates could shift after the Broadcom update and the Citi conference. Treat them as one possible storyline and compare several viewpoints before deciding what this setup means for you.

To round out your view on Kyndryl Holdings, compare this setup against 4 other fair value estimates for Kyndryl Holdings.

Reach Your Own Conclusion

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so consider trusting your own analysis.

Looking For More Investment Ideas Beyond Kyndryl Holdings?

Once you have a view on Kyndryl Holdings, it can help to compare that thesis with other businesses that share similar qualities or offer a very different risk and return profile. The Simply Wall St Screener lets you line up stocks by balance sheet strength, valuation, income profile and more so you can see where Kyndryl fits in your wider watchlist.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.