Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Joy Spreader Group (HKG:6988) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. When Joy Spreader Group last reported its June 2026 balance sheet in August 2026, it had zero debt and cash worth HK$181m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$61m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.0 years as of June 2026. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
View our latest analysis for Joy Spreader Group
Joy Spreader Group boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 64%. But shareholders are no doubt taking some confidence from the rockstar revenue growth of 367% during that same year. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Joy Spreader Group is building its business over time.
There's no doubt Joy Spreader Group seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Since it has a market capitalisation of HK$194m, Joy Spreader Group's HK$61m in cash burn equates to about 31% of its market value. That's not insignificant, and if the company had to sell enough shares to fund another year's growth at the current share price, you'd likely witness fairly costly dilution.
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Joy Spreader Group's revenue growth was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Joy Spreader Group's situation. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Joy Spreader Group (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
Of course Joy Spreader Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.