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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 39.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 60.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 28.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 54.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 17.3%.

Zhitongcaijing·09/09/2026 22:09:06
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 39.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 60.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 28.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 54.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 17.3%.