Shareholders might have noticed that Cembre S.p.A. (BIT:CMB) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.4% to €80.60 in the past week. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of €73m and statutory earnings per share of €2.77. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Cembre after the latest results.
After the latest results, the three analysts covering Cembre are now predicting revenues of €277.1m in 2026. If met, this would reflect a credible 6.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to dip 4.5% to €3.00 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €274.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.92 in 2026. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Cembre's earnings potential following these results.
Check out our latest analysis for Cembre
The consensus price target rose 30% to €89.33, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Cembre at €100.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €73.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Cembre's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Cembre's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.8% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 8.0% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Cembre to grow faster than the wider industry.
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Cembre's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Cembre going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here..
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Cembre that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.