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    Bitcoin Rebound Could Change The Case For Coinbase Stock (COIN)

    Simply Wall St·09/20/2026 01:31:13
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    • Coinbase Global moved higher recently as crypto related stocks responded to new SEC tokenization rules, a sharp Bitcoin recovery, and fresh attention on the company’s derivatives efforts after its CFTC filing for perpetual futures on major U.S. equities.
    • The combination of SEC tokenization guidance and Coinbase Global’s push into perpetual futures highlights how regulatory clarity and product expansion could reshape its revenue mix away from purely spot crypto trading.
    • Now the focus shifts to how Coinbase Global’s investment narrative could evolve as new SEC tokenization rules intersect with its derivatives push.

    Scan beyond Coinbase Global and see how other crypto and blockchain related stocks are reacting to the same catalysts with a curated set of 18 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks.

    Coinbase Global Investment Narrative Recap

    Ownership in Coinbase Global largely comes down to believing the crypto economy will keep deepening and that the firm can shift more of its income toward services, institutional flows, and derivatives instead of relying on retail spot trading. The latest SEC tokenization rules and Bitcoin rebound help sentiment, but they do not erase the exposure to swings in trading activity.

    Right now, the short term catalyst is whether higher activity in Bitcoin, spot ETFs, and potential tokenized assets sustains volumes on the platform and supports subscription and services growth. The biggest risk remains prolonged periods of muted trading and fee pressure, which would bite hard given Coinbase Global is still unprofitable.

    The most relevant recent development for this story is Coinbase Derivatives seeking CFTC approval to list perpetual futures on major U.S. stocks such as Apple and Tesla. That move connects directly to the idea of broadening away from pure spot crypto and trying to capture more sophisticated trading flows under a U.S. regulatory umbrella.

    If approved, stock linked perpetuals could deepen engagement from active traders and institutions, but they also raise execution and risk management demands. Coinbase Global would need to prove it can run a complex derivatives venue while controlling cybersecurity incidents, keeping compliance costs in check, and avoiding overreliance on a single high velocity product line.

    Coinbase Global's narrative projects US$8.5b revenue and US$2.1b earnings by 2028. This implies 8.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings decline of US$0.8b from US$2.9b today.

    Uncover how Coinbase Global's fair value indicates a 97% potential upside to its current price before other investors close that discount.

    NasdaqGS:COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    NasdaqGS:COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    Some bullish analysts see Coinbase Global in a very different light. They focus on the potential for high margin subscriptions to dominate results, with revenue projections of US$9.6b and earnings of US$2.9b by 2029 before this latest tokenization and derivatives news. Using those more optimistic forecasts as a foil, analysts can explore how views may now shift.

    Explore 8 other Coinbase Global fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 97% upside from the current price.

    Decide For Yourself

    Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.

    Looking for more investment ideas beyond Coinbase Global?

    Once you have formed a view on Coinbase Global, it helps to set it against a broader watchlist so you are not relying on a single story. The Simply Wall St Screener can surface other companies with traits that match your preferences, whether you care most about value, balance sheet strength, or income potential.

    • If you want exposure to higher risk opportunities with room to scale, start by reviewing 9 elite penny stocks with strong financials that already show robust financial profiles instead of just a low share price.
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    • If resilience and capital preservation sit at the top of your checklist, concentrate on 30 resilient stocks with low risk scores that score well on volatility, balance sheet strength, and business stability.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.