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Why i-80 Gold Stock Is Up 7.8% And What's Next After Granite Creek Study

Simply Wall St·09/23/2026 03:29:26
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  • i-80 Gold released a feasibility study for the Granite Creek underground project, outlining 2.20 million tonnes of proven and probable reserves grading 7.87 grams per tonne gold and an 8.5 year mine life based on detailed technical work under NI 43-101 and S-K 1300.
  • The study highlights an optimized processing plan that shifts ore to the Lone Tree autoclave from late 2027, targeting lower unit processing costs and higher steady-state production compared with earlier plans.
  • We will now look at how i-80 Gold's investment narrative could be affected by the larger, high-grade Granite Creek reserve base.
Spot 36 elite gold producer stocks that, like i-80 Gold, are backed by detailed technical studies and clearly defined reserve bases.

i-80 Gold Investment Narrative Recap

Owning i-80 Gold means believing management can turn a collection of Nevada projects into a coherent, self funded mining platform anchored by Granite Creek and Lone Tree. The new feasibility study tightens the Granite Creek story with a defined reserve, detailed cost framework and a clear mine plan that stretches for roughly 8.5 years.

For the near term, the key swing factor is smooth ramp up at Granite Creek and consistent delivery against the new reserve and cost assumptions. The biggest risk is still execution across several capital heavy projects and funding that build out, rather than this single study, so the update refines the picture more than it changes it.

The Granite Creek feasibility work is the announcement that really matters here, because it links directly into i-80 Gold’s most important operating levers. It pins down 2.20 million tonnes of proven and probable reserves at 7.87 grams per tonne and aligns the mine plan with the intended Lone Tree processing route.

That matters for catalysts and risks. The study assumes refractory material will go to third party processing until late 2027 before switching to the refurbished Lone Tree autoclave, which targets lower unit processing costs. Execution now depends on meeting the drilling, development and plant commissioning milestones that support those mine life and cost estimates.

i-80 Gold's current analyst storyline points to $752.0 million in revenue and $268.7 million in earnings by 2029. That path assumes revenue grows at 79.5% a year and that earnings move by roughly $527 million from a loss of $258.6 million today to the 2029 consensus figure.

Uncover why i-80 Gold's fair value indicates a 57% potential upside to its current price that could narrow quickly.

TSX:IAU 1-Year Stock Price Chart
TSX:IAU 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Exploring Other Perspectives

One alternate storyline focuses less on Granite Creek geology and more on funding strain. The most optimistic analysts were already baking in roughly US$1.3b of revenue and US$512.4 million of earnings by 2029, compared with the baseline US$752.0 million and US$268.7 million. That gulf shows how strongly opinions on i-80 Gold can differ. Treat today’s feasibility study as a fresh data point that might shift those narratives rather than a final verdict.

Explore 3 other i-80 Gold fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 115% upside from the current price.

Form Your Own Verdict

Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so trust your own analysis and judgment.

  • A great starting point for your i-80 Gold research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • See our latest analysis for i-80 Gold. The report includes a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual, the Snowflake, making it easy to evaluate i-80 Gold's overall financial health at a glance.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond i-80 Gold?

Once you have a view on i-80 Gold, it can help to compare it with other opportunities that share similar qualities, whether that is balance sheet strength, income potential or a mix of value and quality. The Simply Wall St Screener lets you quickly filter for stocks that match the kind of risk and reward profile you want to focus on next.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.