To own Metaplanet, you need to believe the Bitcoin focused financial platform it is building can eventually matter more than index inclusion. Project Nova and the new Hong Kong asset management arm point toward a business that wants to earn fees on Bitcoin related products rather than rely on the hotel segment. That is an execution story. It depends on building trading, risk and operations capabilities quickly enough to justify a P/S of 32x against a base that is still loss making.
The FTSE All World exit mainly affects passive flows. The bigger near term swing factors sit elsewhere. Funding comes entirely from higher risk external borrowing. Earnings are still in the red and losses have widened over five years, while the share price has been very volatile and heavily diluted. Management reshuffles around the CFO and capital markets roles underline that Metaplanet is still wiring the control room while trying to grow.
Even so, there is a less comfortable part of the Metaplanet story once you look closely at how those ambitions intersect with ...
There's only one way to know the right time to buy, sell or hold Metaplanet. Head to Simply Wall St's company report for the latest analysis of Metaplanet's Fair Value.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from ¥114.53 to ¥596, which shows how far opinions on Metaplanet can stretch. Those views were formed before the FTSE All-World removal and the Project Nova asset management buildout. Treat that spread as a prompt to compare several fresh perspectives before taking a position.
Explore 2 other Metaplanet fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 103% upside from the current price!
Don't just follow the ticker. Dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
Once you have formed a view on Metaplanet, it can help to compare that thesis with a wider set of listed businesses that share some of the qualities you care about, whether that is value, income or balance sheet strength.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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