Readers hoping to buy Seikitokyu Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:1898) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade can take two business days or more to settle. This means that investors who purchase Seikitokyu Kogyo's shares on or after the 29th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 8th of December.
The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥37.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥75.00 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Seikitokyu Kogyo stock has a trailing yield of around 5.0% on the current share price of JP¥1490.00. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.
If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Seikitokyu Kogyo paid out more than half (58%) of its earnings last year, which is a regular payout ratio for most companies. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Fortunately, it paid out only 30% of its free cash flow in the past year.
It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.
See our latest analysis for Seikitokyu Kogyo
Click here to see how much of its profit Seikitokyu Kogyo paid out over the last 12 months.
Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that Seikitokyu Kogyo's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run.
Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Seikitokyu Kogyo has lifted its dividend by approximately 17% a year on average.
From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Seikitokyu Kogyo? We're not enthused by the flat earnings per share, although at least the company's payout ratio is within reasonable bounds. Additionally, it paid out a lower percentage of its free cash flow, so at least it generated more cash than it spent on dividends. Overall, it's not a bad combination, but we feel that there are likely more attractive dividend prospects out there.
If you want to look further into Seikitokyu Kogyo, it's worth knowing the risks this business faces. For example - Seikitokyu Kogyo has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.