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KeyCorp (KEY) And The Repricing Story Behind Its Undervalued View

Simply Wall St·09/29/2026 13:21:10
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KeyCorp (KEY) has drawn investor attention after recent trading left the share price at US$20.40, with the stock down over the past month and past 3 months. That price move now sits against solid reported annual revenue and net income figures.

Across shorter timeframes, KeyCorp’s share price has lost momentum, with the 7 day return down 2.25%, the 30 day share price return down 6.89%, and the 90 day move down 11.50%. That softer trend contrasts with a 1 year total shareholder return of 12.50% and a 3 year total shareholder return of 125.72%. Together these figures indicate that earlier optimism has cooled recently as investors reassess growth prospects and risk around the US$20.40 level.

Scan beyond KeyCorp and weigh today’s pullback against other bank and financial stocks in our hand picked list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (25 results).

Recent weakness has pushed KeyCorp back from its highs while revenue and net income remain sizable. Is this a reasonable entry point now, or does it pay to wait for a cheaper valuation first?

Most Popular Narrative: 21.6% Undervalued

KeyCorp’s most followed valuation narrative points to a fair value of $26.02 against the recent share price of $20.40. This frames today’s pullback as a sizable gap between price and that fair value estimate.

The anticipated shift from net interest income headwinds to tailwinds is now supported by over US$9b of low yielding fixed rate assets expected to reprice in the back half of 2026 and about US$30b through year end 2027, which management ties to an outlook for net interest margin to move from 2.89% toward at least 3.25% and potentially lift revenue and earnings.

See why 28 investors see KeyCorp as 22% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $26.02 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the thesis around KeyCorp only holds if credit issues stay contained and fee income from areas like Clearwater UK meets expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this KeyCorp narrative.

Next Steps

If this mix of optimism and caution around KeyCorp leaves you undecided, move fast and review the numbers yourself before sentiment shifts again. To see what those potential upsides look like in more detail, start with the 5 key rewards.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond KeyCorp?

If you like the KeyCorp story but do not want all your money riding on one bank, broaden your watchlist with a few targeted screeners.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.