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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 80.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 19.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 21.7%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 64.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.2%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/07/2026 22:17:07
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 80.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 19.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 21.7%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 64.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 14.2%.