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NIO (NIO) Dropped, So What Is Behind The Fresh Attention?

Simply Wall St·10/09/2026 07:47:20
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NIO stock: fresh delivery data meets shifting European footprint

NIO (NIO) just reported new delivery figures and is also in the headlines for potential changes to its German footprint and a stake sale in NIO Power involving Geely.

NIO’s latest delivery headlines arrive after a tough run for the stock, with the share price down 28.7% over the past 90 days and 33.7% year to date, and the 1 year total shareholder return declining 54.3% as investors reassess both growth optionality in Europe and the potential support from partnerships such as Geely’s stake in NIO Power.

Compare NIO's reset in Europe with other EV and auto players that our team has filtered for balance sheet strength and fundamentals through the list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (25 results) to see how the risk profile compares.

The share price slump, fresh China focused delivery momentum and questions over Europe leave NIO looking like a high-risk rerating candidate. Does that balance still lean toward buyers when you run the numbers from here?

Most popular NIO valuation narrative: 47% undervalued

Against a last close of $3.41, the most followed narrative pegs NIO’s fair value at $6.38, which implies a steep valuation gap that only closes if the long run turnround story plays out as outlined.

Strong delivery growth driven by the launch of new high-demand models (ONVO L90, all-new ES8, FIREFLY) and a multi-brand strategy positions NIO to capture a broader user base and higher market share in premium and mainstream EV segments, supporting robust top-line revenue growth and volume leverage.

See why 279 investors see NIO as 47% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $6.38 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the narrative around NIO can crack if intense domestic EV competition forces sharper pricing, or if high operating expenses keep profitability further out of reach.

Find out about the key risks to this NIO narrative.

Next Steps

If the mix of pressure and optimism around NIO leaves you unsure, move quickly to review the data and stress test the upside for yourself with 3 key rewards.

Looking for more NIO investment ideas?

If NIO has your attention, consider spreading your risk by lining up a few more candidates that fit clear, numbers based filters before committing fresh capital.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.