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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 66.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 9.1%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 62.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 28.7%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/14/2026 22:09:07
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 66.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 9.1%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 62.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 28.7%.