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    Does FAA Approval Near Change The Bull Case For Boeing Stock (BA)?

    Simply Wall St·10/19/2026 06:30:10
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    • Boeing recently reported third quarter 2026 deliveries of 161 commercial jets and 33 defense, space, and security units, with year to date totals of 475 commercial aircraft and 98 defense and space programs.
    • The looming FAA sign off for the 737 MAX 10 matters because it affects how quickly Boeing can turn a large backlog into cash and tackle deferred production costs on its core narrowbody line.
    • This article examines how Boeing's investment narrative is shaped by the pending 737 MAX 10 approval and the associated cash generation potential.

    Track how Boeing’s certification and defense contract news compares with other potential opportunities by scanning a curated set of 20 high quality undiscovered gems that may not be on most investors’ radar yet.

    Boeing Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Boeing, you need to believe the commercial jet franchise can turn a record backlog and rising deliveries into steadier earnings, while the defense and services units help smooth volatility. The looming 737 MAX 10 approval is the key short term swing factor because it directly influences how quickly that backlog converts into cash.

    The biggest risk right now is execution. Certification delays, supply chain snags, and quality issues could keep the Commercial Airplanes division under margin pressure and limit progress on Boeing's sizeable debt. Recent Q3 delivery numbers and MAX 10 headlines reinforce that in the near term the story is mostly about operational follow through.

    The FAA’s expected approval of the 737 MAX 10 ties directly into the latest delivery update and the 1,500 unit order book for that variant. Since those jets represent around 30% of the 737 backlog, timely certification and a clean production ramp are central to Boeing's ability to improve cash generation and address deferred costs.

    That same dynamic frames the Avolon order for 140 737 MAX aircraft. It reinforces long term demand for Boeing’s narrowbody line, but it only becomes financially meaningful if the supply chain holds up and the firm hits delivery schedules at workable margins. For you as a shareholder, that makes execution on existing programs far more important than headline order size.

    Boeing's current analyst narrative points to forecast revenue of US$125.6b and earnings of US$7.9b by 2029. That profile assumes revenue expands by 10.9% per year and earnings rise by about US$6b from US$1.9b today.

    Uncover why Boeing's fair value indicates a 42% potential upside to its current price, which could narrow quickly.

    NYSE:BA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    NYSE:BA 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    Some of the most optimistic analysts lean hard into the new PAC-3 MSE seeker contract as the real swing factor for Boeing. Before this news, they were already penciling in revenue of about US$132.7b and earnings of US$11.7b. You can compare that to the more cautious US$125.6b and US$7.9b consensus and decide which camp fits your view, knowing both were set before the latest delivery and contract headlines and may shift as the story evolves.

    Explore 5 other Boeing fair value estimates, including one that suggests potential upside of up to 111% from the current price.

    The Verdict Is Yours

    Don't just follow the ticker; dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.

    Looking for more Boeing investment ideas?

    Once you have a handle on Boeing, it can help to zoom out and line it up against other opportunities using the Simply Wall St Screener. That way you can see how its risk profile, income potential, and balance sheet quality stack up against a wider set of companies.

    • If you want potential bargains with quality metrics to back them up, filter for companies on our 33 high quality undervalued stocks and compare their fundamentals to Boeing's setup.
    • For income focused investing, check which businesses offering robust yields look more appealing than Boeing by scanning this curated group of 8 dividend fortresses.
    • When capital protection is a priority, put Boeing alongside a 32 resilient stocks with low risk scores to see which stocks align better with your tolerance for volatility and balance sheet strength.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.