ICG (LSE:ICG) has put £700,000 behind the fifth season of its Million Meals programme. It aims to fund two million meals while expanding London partnerships and food distribution infrastructure.
ICG’s share price has softened in recent months, with the 30 day share price return down 4.62% and the year to date share price return down 13.72%. However, the 3 year total shareholder return of 51.63% still points to a much stronger long term outcome than the 1 year total shareholder return decline of 4.02%.
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Bulls see ICG’s softer share price and solid multi year returns as a mispricing. Bears point to recent share price declines. Which side does the current valuation evidence support next?
ICG’s most followed valuation narrative puts fair value at £25.11, comfortably above the latest £17.74 close. This frames the recent share price softness as a potential disconnect between business progress and market pricing.
ICG’s fee related earnings reached £350m in FY26 with a 47% FRE margin and higher fee rate strategies now providing more than 75% of management fees. This supports the view that further mix shift into these areas could lift margins and earnings power.
See why 15 investors see ICG as 29% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of £25.11 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, the ICG story can break if private equity exits remain slow and that $19b of undeployed AUM keeps fee income and earnings on hold.
Find out about the key risks to this ICG narrative.
Mixed messages in the ICG story so far. Act while sentiment is still forming by weighing both sides of the ledger with the 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
If ICG has caught your attention, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist now and give yourself more ways for your capital to work.
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