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    Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Jumped, What Is Driving Attention Now?

    Simply Wall St·10/23/2026 09:34:13
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    Verisk Analytics (VRSK) has drawn fresh attention after its share price moved sharply, as investors reassess how event driven insurance losses, such as those from Hurricane Isaias, interact with the firm’s cash generation and valuation.

    Recent trading reflects that story in the chart as well. Verisk Analytics has a 1 day share price return of 5.71% and a 30 day share price return of 18.26%. However, the total shareholder return over the past year is down 12.53%. This indicates that short term momentum has picked up even as longer term performance remains muted and keeps the focus on whether the current US$203.33 share price aligns with the cash flow outlook and risk profile.

    Scan how Verisk Analytics compares to other insurers with strong cash flow support by reviewing the hand picked 29 high quality undervalued stocks, now moving back into focus after recent volatility.

    Bulls point to Verisk Analytics’ cash generation and analyst estimates of intrinsic value above today’s US$203.33 price. Bears lean on its weaker 1 year return. Which story lines up better with the current valuation?

    Most Popular Narrative: 165% Overvalued

    The most followed narrative on Verisk Analytics pegs fair value at $76.85, far below the recent $203.33 close, which frames today’s debate less around short term swings and more around what investors think they are buying at this price.

    Verisk Analytics is a regulatory-grade data toll on the US property & casualty insurance industry, monetized through ~83% subscription revenue with ~92% client retention. VRSK's narrow-moat franchise produces FCF with an unusually high degree of predictability, durable enough to justify a 15× exit multiple at a 35% margin of safety. The 2022 to 2025 portfolio simplification (Energy, Argus, 3E, Marketing Solutions all divested) has produced a cleaner pure-play with structurally higher margins (Adj EBITDA 56.2% in 2025 vs. 53.5% in 2023) and a shrinking share count (~19% reduction since 2019). What the investor is paying for here is a regulatory annuity with an embedded MSD price-and-volume escalator, and walking away from any thesis premised on this becoming a HSD to DD revenue compounder.

    See why 7 investors see Verisk Analytics as 165% overvalued.

    Result: Fair Value of $76.85 (OVERVALUED)

    Still, Verisk Analytics faces pressure if subscription clients push back on pricing or if future regulatory shifts reduce the value of its data toll model.

    Find out about the key risks to this Verisk Analytics narrative.

    Another View On Verisk Analytics’ Value

    The user narrative paints Verisk Analytics as 165% overvalued with a fair value of $76.85, yet our DCF model points in the opposite direction and suggests the shares trade below estimated future cash flow value of $288.28. That split hints at very different assumptions on growth risk and required return.

    For anyone trying to weigh those cash flow expectations against the current $203.33 price, it helps to walk through how the SWS DCF model treats Verisk Analytics’ earnings power and discount rate side by side with the narrative view. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

    VRSK Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2026
    VRSK Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2026

    Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Verisk Analytics for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 29 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

    Next Steps

    Mixed messages in the Verisk Analytics story today make it worth checking the numbers yourself and moving quickly to frame your own stance. To see how the upside and downside balance out, review the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

    Looking for more investment ideas beyond Verisk Analytics?

    If Verisk Analytics has sharpened your thinking on price and quality, do not stop here. Put that momentum to work by scanning other opportunities built on clear fundamentals.