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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 90.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 9.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 25.8%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 6.7%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/23/2026 21:49:06
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 90.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 9.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until December is 25.8%. The probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 6.7%.