Walsh Pure Grain Technicals / Daily News – Pure Hedge Division
Indicator methodology: Moving averages are simple averages of the latest settlement/last-price observations.
Dec’26 Corn
- A confirmed break below 450.25¢ would signal potential continuation lower.
- Avoid adding shorts solely because RSI is extremely low; use a predefined stop and position size.
Producer hedging
- If you have unpriced 2026 corn production, consider protecting a portion of the remaining price exposure with put options or a suitable hedge rather than committing the entire crop at once.
Jan ’27 Beans
- For unpriced soybeans, compare buying puts with a minimum-price strategy that preserves some upside.
- Consider incremental protection rather than a full hedge at once, especially given the oversold momentum readings
Dec’26 Wheat
- If you have unpriced wheat, evaluate puts or a partial futures hedge to limit further downside.
- Because wheat is deeply oversold, consider retaining some upside participation if your cash-flow requirements allow it.
My Trade Board
| Market | Strategy | Entry/Trigger | Stop | T1 | T2 |
| Corn | Short rally | 462-466 | 476 | 450 | 440 |
| Soybeans | Short rally | 1264-1270 | 1284 | 1240 | 1220 |
| Soybeans reversal | Long | >1265 confirmation | 1249 | 1282 | 1290-1300 |
| Wheat | Short rally | 632-638 | 648 | 610 | 600 |
If I were choosing only three trades
- Wheat: Sell 632-638
Best combination of defined resistance and established bearish momentum, while avoiding selling directly into an oversold condition. - Corn: Sell 462-466
The 7-day average at 462.57 gives you a logical technical resistance area and a much cleaner risk/reward than shorting 455. - Soybeans: Wait for 1,265
Rather than blindly selling beans, I'd let the 7-day MA decide the trade. Rejection favors a short; a sustained reclaim starts building the case for a reversal toward 1,282-1,290.
I believe the key takeaway is to not chase these markets lower here. All three are already beneath their moving averages. The cleaner speculative trades are selling rallies into falling moving-average resistance, while soybeans provide the most interesting candidate for a tactical reversal if the 7-day average is reclaimed.
Tim Healy
Broker
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312 957 4731
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