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ChargePoint Shares Slid Even Though Sales Rose

Simply Wall St·10/27/2026 16:12:06
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ChargePoint looked like it was turning a corner on paper, with quarterly revenue and net income losses both improving by Q2 2027, yet shareholders still saw their capital shrink. Investors who held ChargePoint over the past year are down 25.2%, including dividends. If you had bought in a year ago, how would you square better reported figures with that outcome, and what early clues were actually available before the slide?

Narratives are how investors here put a case on the record, with explicit assumptions about revenue, margins and the multiple. Those assumptions imply an estimated Fair Value.

If the move has made ChargePoint harder to judge, start where the gap is still open and scan 29 high quality undervalued stocks.

The Two ChargePoint Stories Investors Had To Weigh

The shares cost US$11 at the start of the period, and anyone looking at ChargePoint then had to decide which of two very different stories felt more convincing.

The optimistic Narrative saw Fair Value at US$12.72, built on revenue growth of 15.4% and an assumed profit margin of 10.2% within three years. That case relied on expansion in Europe and growth in higher margin software.

The cautious Narrative put Fair Value at US$10 and assumed declining revenue of 9.7% a year, despite an 8.3% margin assumption, with pressure from competition and hardware commoditisation identified as key risks.

NYSE:CHPT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NYSE:CHPT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

What The Results Changed For The ChargePoint Thesis

The clearest fact during the period was ChargePoint’s Q2 2027 update. Revenue was US$116.08m versus US$98.59m a year earlier, while the company still reported a net loss of US$35.62m. The net margin improved from a loss of 67.1% to a loss of 30.7%. That shift supported the cautious case on ongoing losses and left the optimistic profitability assumption unproven.

The hinge assumption here was not growth; it was margin. When assessing another stock with a bullish profitability story, track whether net margin is actually moving toward the stated target and not just whether revenue is rising.

What ChargePoint’s Lower Price Now Asks You To Believe

ChargePoint trades today at US$8.24, after the share price declined about 25.2% over the past year. The selected Narrative’s Fair Value sits above the current price and leans on ChargePoint’s push toward software, subscription income and AI driven cost efficiencies.

The idea is that the hardware footprint and European rollout support recurring, higher margin revenue. For that higher figure to be met, a buyer today would need to assume ChargePoint sustains revenue growth while keeping margins around recent levels as it moves toward cash flow breakeven.

"Key Takeaways: Bullish analysts expect ChargePoint Holdings to keep shifting toward a higher margin, capital light model as subscription revenue, software deployment, and AI driven cost efficiencies build on recent improvements in gross margin and operating expenses. The main thing that has to go right is that ChargePoint scales its next generation DC platform and European offering while maintaining cost discipline, so that revenue growth, margin levels around recent results, and progress toward cash flow breakeven hold together."

The price and this Narrative do not agree. → Uncover what this Narrative says ChargePoint is actually worth

ChargePoint And The Power Behind It

ChargePoint depends on electricity waiting whenever drivers plug in to charge. The tougher question is who keeps that current available and dependable.

EV charging needs more than cables and software to function at scale. It also leans on generation that can adjust, grids that stay balanced and hardware ready for constant use.

Another player focuses on that less visible backbone behind the plugs. It provides heavy-duty power gear, long service contracts and grid technology that help keep electricity moving.

As data centers, renewables and EVs all share the same infrastructure, that quiet role in the background starts to feel more pivotal.

The argument comes with a number attached. → Uncover the power-grid company trading 33% below one Narrative's Fair Value