Scan 21 high quality undiscovered gems that, like United Therapeutics, are pushing new therapies through the clinic while still flying under most investors' radar.
To own United Therapeutics, you really have to believe the prostacyclin franchise can hold its ground while newer pulmonary fibrosis, COPD and xenotransplant programs mature. The big near term swing factor is how well treprostinil based therapies defend share against competitors as commentary points to pressure on the base business and quarterly revenue. The Treprostinil Iloprost SMI phase 1 clearance looks more like pipeline depth than a near term needle mover.
The biggest operating risk is that ongoing investment into larger pulmonary fibrosis and COPD opportunities does not translate into the high revenue per patient that management has outlined. That would leave United Therapeutics holding substantial R&D and commercial costs without the expected scale benefits, and could limit how much the buyback and high net margin profile support earnings per share in the shorter term.
The recent announcement that resonates most with this soft mist inhaler update is the FDA clearance for the SUMMIT trial of treprostinil SMI in PH COPD. Both projects lean on inhaled treprostinil delivered via portable devices, so execution across these trials will shape how much practical mileage United Therapeutics gets from its soft mist platform beyond core PAH.
If SUMMIT reads out well on safety, tolerability, exercise capacity and NT proBNP, that would feed directly into the key catalyst of expanding treprostinil use into broader pulmonary populations and reinforcing lifecycle management of the prostacyclin portfolio. Any issues in enrollment, tolerability or long term extension data could instead reinforce existing concerns about dosing burden in real world pulmonary fibrosis and COPD settings.
United Therapeutics' narrative projects US$4.4b revenue and US$1.8b earnings by 2029. This implies 11.9% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about US$500m from US$1.3b today.
Uncover how United Therapeutics' fair value indicates a potential upside of 10% to its current price before the market closes that discount.
Some of the most optimistic analysts already framed United Therapeutics as a fibrosis and xenotransplantation story, with projections of US$5.4b in revenue and US$2.4b in earnings by 2029 before this Treprostinil Iloprost SMI news. You can treat this new inhaler trial as a fresh test of that bolder vision and compare multiple viewpoints yourself.
Explore 3 other United Therapeutics fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 259% upside from the current price.
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
If the United Therapeutics story has you thinking about how to build a broader watchlist, it can help to scan for other businesses with clear financial profiles and distinct risk reward trade offs using the Simply Wall St Screener.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com