Shareholders might have noticed that El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.1% to Mex$100 in the past week. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of Mex$49b were in line with what the analysts predicted, El Puerto de Liverpool. de surprised by delivering a statutory profit of Mex$2.53 per share, a notable 19% above expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from El Puerto de Liverpool. de's 13 analysts is for revenues of Mex$247.2b in 2027. This reflects an okay 7.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 25% to Mex$16.86. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of Mex$248.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$17.03 in 2027. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
Check out our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of Mex$121, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic El Puerto de Liverpool. de analyst has a price target of Mex$195 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at Mex$100.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 5.6% annualised growth rate until the end of 2027 being well below the historical 9.2% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 12% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than El Puerto de Liverpool. de.
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple El Puerto de Liverpool. de analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You can also see whether El Puerto de Liverpool. de is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.
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