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China Merchants Securities: Nvidia GTC leads new trends in physical AI and further clarifies industry development trends

Zhitongcaijing·10/29/2026 22:33:20
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The Zhitong Finance App learned that China Merchants Securities released a research report saying that the Nvidia GTC conference revolved around two major directions: upgrading Vera Rubin's computing power and expanding physical AI applications to further clarify the development trend of the AI industry. Overall, the AI industry is showing a trend of continuous upgrading of computing power infrastructure and accelerated expansion of application scenarios. Physical AI is expected to become an important growth direction, providing additional volume for computing power demand. In addition, leading technology companies are still increasing their investment in AI, but as the scale of investment continues to expand, the market's requirements for return on capital gradually increase, and the degree of matching between the progress of AI commercialization and the speed of investment expansion will become the core of market attention.

The main views of China Merchants Securities are as follows:

Nvidia GTC is leading a new trend in physical AI.

The Nvidia GTC conference focused on two major directions: upgrading Vera Rubin's computing power and expanding physical AI applications to further clarify the development trend of the AI industry. On the computing power side, Vera Rubin continues to improve computational efficiency and promote the improvement of AI infrastructure construction efficiency and comprehensive energy efficiency with liquid cooling and modular deployment solutions. On the application side, Nvidia accelerates the deployment of physical AI in fields such as robotics, intelligent driving, and industrial manufacturing, and promotes the deep integration of AI with the physical industry. Overall, the AI industry is showing a trend of continuous upgrading of computing power infrastructure and accelerated expansion of application scenarios. Physical AI is expected to become an important growth direction, providing additional volume for computing power demand.

Anthropic released an S-1 prospectus.

According to the prospectus, the AI commercialization process continues to accelerate, and rapid revenue growth has led to marked improvements in profitability and cash flow, but the long-term financial pressure brought about by large-scale computing power expansion is still worth paying attention to. The company relied on the expansion of enterprise customers and the growth in demand for AI applications to achieve a rapid increase in revenue, and the scale effect gradually became apparent. However, at the same time, long-term contract commitments such as computing power procurement, equipment financial leasing, and data center construction continued to increase, and future fixed payment obligations were large.

The earnings season focuses on the return on AI investment.

According to the latest financial reports, Meta and SpaceX are both accelerating the expansion of AI infrastructure, but the growth momentum and financial pressure faced by the two are different. Meta relied on the advertising business to maintain high growth, but capital expenditure and long-term contract commitments continued to rise, and free cash flow turned negative, causing market concerns about return on investment; SpaceX used its super-smart business to drive rapid revenue growth and proposed more aggressive computing power expansion goals. Overall, leading technology companies are still increasing their investment in AI, but as the scale of investment continues to expand, the market's requirements for return on capital gradually increase, and the degree of matching between the progress of AI commercialization and the speed of investment expansion will become the core of market attention.

Communications Network: Financial Services Association, October 23. The Central Cyber Security and Information Technology Commission issued the “Fifteenth Five-Year Plan for Information Technology”. By 2030, China will have made significant progress in informatization, and its role in advancing Chinese-style modernization is even more prominent. Information infrastructure consolidates and expands its leading edge, a three-dimensional land, sea, air and sky network system has basically been formed, a next-generation communication network has been fully completed, commercial use of sixth-generation mobile communication (6G) has been launched in due course, the national blockchain network has basically been built, and the intelligent Internet has accelerated its layout and development.

Netcom's scientific and technological innovation capabilities have been significantly enhanced, the science and technology innovation system has been improved, and breakthroughs have been made in key core technologies in key areas. The Internet communication industry is ecologically prosperous and developing, digital technology and the real economy are deeply integrated, and the comprehensive strength of Internet communication enterprises has been significantly strengthened. The level of digital, networked and intelligent application of the economy and society has reached a new level, empowering economic and social development and governance capabilities to improve markedly. Cybersecurity is solid and strong, the system of regulations and standards is more complete, and the common concept of the destiny of cyberspace is deeply rooted in the hearts of the people.

Global stock market performance: The global stock market rose and fell a lot last week. Among them, health care, energy, and daily consumption performance was good, and the performance of materials, industry, and telecommunications services was average.

Risk warning: Economic data fell short of expectations, policy understanding was incomplete, and overseas policies were tightened beyond expectations.