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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December is 28%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 72%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until January next year is 19.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 58.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.

Zhitongcaijing·10/30/2026 22:09:01
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in December is 28%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 72%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until January next year is 19.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 58.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.