-+ 0.00%
-+ 0.00%
-+ 0.00%

Hammond Power Solutions (TSX:HPS.A) Stock Slips As Q3 Earnings Raise Capacity Questions

Simply Wall St·10/31/2026 02:28:15
Listen to the news

Hammond Power Solutions came into its Q3 2026 release as a high-expectation electrification play, yet the stock has slipped 18.6% over the past month and 8.3% over three months. That pullback coincided with a headline print that was anything but sleepy. Revenue for the quarter landed at CA$446.3 million and basic earnings per share hit CA$2.33, supported by a full-quarter lift from the AEG acquisition and a strong transformer backlog. The gap between a cooling share price and these strong operating numbers is the real story investors are now trying to price.

Love Hammond Power Solutions’ strong Q3 print but concerned that the recent 18.6% pullback might signal risk you are not seeing yet? Compare it with our 7 resilient stocks with low risk scores.

Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

  • Revenue (Q3 2026 vs. Q3 2025): CA$446.3 million vs. CA$218.3 million (increase of slightly more than 2x)
  • Net Income (Excl. Extra Items, Q3 2026 vs. Q3 2025): CA$27.7 million vs. CA$17.4 million (up about 59%)
  • Basic EPS (Q3 2026 vs. Q3 2025): CA$2.33 vs. CA$1.46 (up about 60%)
  • Consolidated Gross Margin (Q3 2026 vs. Q3 2025): 34.4% vs. 30.1% (up about 4.3 percentage points)

AEG’s first full quarter helped push margins sharply higher. Ask Charlie what Hammond Power Solutions' AEG deal changed in margins.

TSX:HPS.A Trailing 12-Month Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Oct 2026
TSX:HPS.A Trailing 12-Month Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Oct 2026

Hammond Power’s Capacity Story Meets The Numbers

The bullish version of the Hammond Power Solutions story leans heavily on expanded output and the AEG platform turning into a higher value engine.

"The ramp-up and optimization of expanded manufacturing capacity in Monterrey, which has already supported record shipment volumes and contributed to operating leverage, can continue to lift Hammond Power Solutions revenue and support higher earnings as more of the enlarged $1.3b North American capacity is utilized."

Q3 results back up the Monterrey claim. Power Magnetics sales of CA$355.5m and a 34.3% gross margin show higher throughput and overhead absorption. The full quarter from AEG plus consolidated gross margin of 34.4% indicate the enlarged footprint is driving earnings power, even as backlog eased slightly as shipments outpaced bookings.

Backlog, Tariffs And AEG Risks Under The Microscope

Bears focus on whether tariffs, integration and end markets might quietly chip away at that Hammond Power Solutions thesis.

"Ongoing ramp-up and expansion of manufacturing facilities, such as the Monterrey plants and the planned Fort Worth site, together with the recent integration of AEG Power Solutions, could lead to extended periods of unabsorbed overhead and operational inefficiencies. This would pressure margins and limit any improvement in net income."

Q3 data pushes back on that fear for now. Gross margin reached 34.4% and adjusted EBITDA margin was 18.8%, which points to solid cost absorption. AEG’s IES unit posted a 37.7% gross margin helped by service mix, even with softer hydrogen and offshore wind orders and Middle East disruptions tempering intake and adding integration complexity.

One Narrative disagrees with today's price. → See where this Narrative says Hammond Power Solutions should trade.

Hunt Quiet Disconnects In Plain Sight

Hammond Power Solutions shows how strong operations and a softer share price can move apart. The real opportunity sits in finding stocks that could be undervalued before the market adjusts.

  • Company 1 - 21% below our estimate - builds electronic systems for aircraft makers and adds acquired telemetry tools to reach higher margin aftermarket work.
  • Company 2 - 35% below our estimate - stitches together acquired design firms and shared digital platforms to compete for larger, recurring infrastructure and water programs.
  • Company 3 - 46% below our estimate - opens higher end malls, tightens markdowns and uses an AI supported online channel to deepen fashion engagement and repeat spending.

Those are three of them. See the full list of 3 companies trading below our fair value estimates →