-+ 0.00%
-+ 0.00%
-+ 0.00%

A $1,000 Exxon Stake From Five Years Ago Is Now Worth $3,231, and Shares Are Up More Than a Third in 2026

24/7 Wall St.·11/11/2026 16:36:52
Listen to the news

For anyone eyeing an investment, here is what a $1,000 investment in Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) would be worth today over 1, 5, and 10 years, compared with the S&P 500. A buyer at the Nov. 30, 2021 month-end close of $59.84 who reinvested every dividend now has $3,231. That value is based on the $164.47 close on Nov. 10, 2026.

Cost Cuts, Guyana and the Permian Rebuilt Exxon’s Earnings Base

WTI crude was $81.47 per barrel on Nov. 11, 2021. It rose to $123.64 on March 8, 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine, then slid to $57.26 by the end of 2025. Over that period, Exxon concentrated on what it calls advantaged assets. It completed the about $60 billion Pioneer Natural Resources purchase in 2024. By 2025, the Permian, Guyana, and LNG made up 59% of production, and output hit a record 4.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day. Structural cost savings since 2019 now total $16.9 billion.

In 2026, WTI went from $57.21 on Jan. 2 to $114.58 on April 7 as Middle East disruptions limited supply. Third-quarter adjusted EPS came in at $4.23, ahead of the $3.98 consensus, with Gulf Coast refineries running at 100% crude utilization.

Five-Year Holders More Than Tripled Their Money While the Decade Trailed the Index

1-Year Return

  • Initial Investment: $1,000
  • Current Value: $1,431.20
  • Total Return: 43.12%
  • S&P 500 (same period): $1,100.50 (10.05%)

5-Year Return (dividends reinvested)

  • Initial Investment: $1,000
  • Current Value: $3,231
  • Total Return: 223.1%
  • Annualized Return: about 26.4%
  • S&P 500 (from Nov. 11, 2021, price only): $1,617 (61.7%)

10-Year Return (dividends reinvested)

  • Initial Investment: $1,000
  • Current Value: $2,877
  • Total Return: 187.7%
  • Annualized Return: about 11.1%
  • S&P 500 (from Nov. 11, 2016, price only): $3,465.10 (246.51%)

On share price alone, the five-year investment would be worth $2,748, so reinvested dividends added $483. The quarterly payout went from $0.88 in late 2021 to $1.07 now. The 10-year investment is worth less than the five-year one. The stock is up 36.67% from its $120.34 close at the end of 2025, though it dropped 7.32% over the past week.

A 44-Year Dividend Streak Meets Shifting Oil Prices

Exxon trades at a P/E of about 23 with a 2.57% dividend yield. It has raised its dividend for 44 consecutive years and plans $20 billion in buybacks in 2027.

Results could be supported if Permian output maintains 9% annual growth through 2030, as targeted in mid-2026, and Guyana’s fifth production vessel starts as scheduled in the fourth quarter of 2026. Results could be squeezed if WTI, last at $99.64, slips back toward 2025 levels or the move away from fossil fuels speeds up.