Revenue Beat: Telos Corporation Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 10% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
The investors in Telos Corporation's (NASDAQ:TLS) will be rubbing their hands together with glee today, after the share price leapt 51% to US$7.65 in the week following its third-quarter results. It was a mildly positive result, with revenues exceeding expectations at US$55m, while statutory earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.06 were in line with analyst forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Following the latest results, Telos' six analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$201.5m in 2027. This would be a satisfactory 2.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Telos is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.20 per share. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$191.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.085 in 2027. There's been a pretty noticeable increase in sentiment, with the analysts upgrading revenues and making a great increase in earnings per share in particular.
Check out our latest analysis for Telos
With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 36% to US$8.58per share. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Telos at US$11.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$6.50. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. From these estimates it looks as though the analysts expect the years of declining revenue to come to an end, given the flat forecast out to 2027. That would be a definite improvement, given that the past five years have seen revenue shrink 9.9% annually. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 17% annually. So it's pretty clear that, although revenues are improving, Telos is still expected to grow slower than the industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Telos following these results. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for next year, even though it is expected to grow slower than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Telos. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Telos analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Telos (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
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