To own Hawaiian Electric Industries, you need to be comfortable with a regulated utility that is still working through wildfire related costs while trying to keep its grid investment on track. The analyst consensus Narrative on Simply Wall St leans on a thesis of fairly flat revenue and softer profit margins over the next few years.
The latest quarterly numbers, with US$35.45 million in net income and year to date profit of US$189.1 million, speak to an operation that is profitable but still carrying heavy obligations. The key near term catalyst is progress on securitization and regulatory cost recovery. The biggest risk remains wildfire settlements and any delay to cash collection that could stretch leverage.
The most relevant update is the recent earnings release for the third quarter of 2026. Hawaiian Electric Industries reported US$1,008.71 million in revenue for the quarter and US$2,694.86 million for the first nine months of 2026, alongside basic EPS from continuing operations of US$0.21 for the quarter and US$1.10 year to date.
For you, this earnings line is a reference point against the catalysts in play, including securitization of up to US$500 million of resilience spending and the shift to a pure utility focus. These results also sit next to ongoing wildfire related litigation and planned debt funding for future settlement payments, which keeps balance sheet risk central to any thesis on Hawaiian Electric Industries.
Hawaiian Electric Industries' narrative projects US$3.5 billion in revenue and US$191.1 million in earnings by 2029, with analysts assuming that revenue remains fairly flat over that period and earnings decline by about US$37.6 million from US$228.7 million today.
Uncover why Hawaiian Electric Industries' fair value indicates a 3% potential downside to its current price, a premium that may not hold.
Wildfire related O&M pressure is where the alternate view on Hawaiian Electric Industries really bites. The most bearish analysts were projecting 2029 earnings of about US$149.7 million on roughly US$3.5b of revenue, far below consensus. That is a much harsher story. These forecasts all pre date the latest earnings, so opinions may change.
Explore 5 other Hawaiian Electric Industries fair value estimates, including one that suggests as much as 61% downside from the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so trust your own analysis.
Once you have formed a view on Hawaiian Electric Industries, it can help to compare it with other opportunities that match your risk tolerance and income goals. The Simply Wall St Screener gives you a quick way to filter for stocks that line up with the type of balance sheet strength, value or income profile you want to focus on next.
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