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Is Azrieli Group (TLV:AZRG) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St·12/31/2025 07:43:37
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Azrieli Group Ltd. (TLV:AZRG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Azrieli Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2025 Azrieli Group had ₪29.2b of debt, an increase on ₪23.7b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪3.25b, its net debt is less, at about ₪25.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:AZRG Debt to Equity History December 31st 2025

How Healthy Is Azrieli Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Azrieli Group had liabilities of ₪5.45b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪33.0b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪3.25b and ₪1.10b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₪34.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of ₪43.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Azrieli Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

View our latest analysis for Azrieli Group

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Azrieli Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (11.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.3 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a lighter note, we note that Azrieli Group grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Azrieli Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Azrieli Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Azrieli Group's struggle handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was refreshing. We think that Azrieli Group's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Azrieli Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.