Assessing Flowserve (FLS) Valuation After A 36% Three Month Share Price Rally
Flowserve (FLS) has quietly drawn investor attention after a strong past 3 months, with the stock up about 36%, prompting fresh interest in how its fundamentals line up with the recent move.
See our latest analysis for Flowserve.
At a share price of $70.75, Flowserve’s recent momentum is most visible in its 90 day share price return of 36.03%, while its 1 year total shareholder return of 21.21% and 3 year total shareholder return of 132.59% point to a period of strong compounding for investors.
If Flowserve’s move has you thinking about where else capital might work hard, this could be a good moment to scan aerospace and defense stocks for other ideas tied to industrial and infrastructure themes.
With a recent 36.03% 90 day return, modest annual revenue and net income growth, and a value score of 4, the key question is whether Flowserve is still trading at a discount or if the market is already pricing in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 7.9% Undervalued
Flowserve’s most followed narrative puts fair value at US$76.80 versus the last close of US$70.75, framing the recent share price strength in a valuation context.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $66.5 for Flowserve based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $76.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $60.0.
Curious what earnings profile could support a higher fair value than the current consensus target, even with a lower future P/E than the sector average, and why revenue growth assumptions remain relatively measured while margin expectations do much of the heavy lifting.
Result: Fair Value of $76.80 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on bookings momentum and Nuclear exposure holding up, while ongoing integration issues in Flow Control could still pressure margins if progress slows.
Find out about the key risks to this Flowserve narrative.
Build Your Own Flowserve Narrative
If you see the data differently or prefer to piece together your own view, you can build a personalised Flowserve story in just a few minutes using Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Flowserve research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
Ready to hunt for your next idea?
If Flowserve has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here, line up a few more candidates so you are not relying on a single story.
- Target income potential by scanning these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that might suit investors who want regular cash returns alongside capital growth potential.
- Explore growth themes with these 25 AI penny stocks that are tied to AI adoption across industries and may offer different risk and reward profiles for a portfolio.
- Spot possible mispricings through these 875 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that highlight companies where current prices differ from their underlying cash flow strength.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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