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To own IonQ, you have to believe that trapped‑ion systems can convert today’s technical edge into durable, commercial demand long before the cash burn becomes a constraint. The KISTI Tempo 100 deal helps that story at the margin: it reinforces IonQ’s role at the center of national‑scale quantum initiatives, adds another reference site in Asia, and supports the case that on‑premise systems can complement cloud‑based access. In the near term, though, the key catalysts still look similar: execution on existing multi‑year contracts like QuantumBasel, continued technical milestones, and proof that rising revenue can eventually tame losses that recently topped US$1.46 billion. Given the sharp share price pullback and volatile trading, this KISTI announcement feels more like an incremental validation than a game‑changing shift in the risk‑reward profile.
However, one risk stands out that many investors may be underestimating right now. According our valuation report, there's an indication that IonQ's share price might be on the expensive side.Explore 65 other fair value estimates on IonQ - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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