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To own McDonald's, you generally need to believe its global brand, franchised model, and marketing engine can keep customer traffic and franchisee economics resilient. The Crayola Happy Meal partnership fits this story but likely does not change the key near term catalyst, which remains traffic trends among value sensitive guests, or the main risk, which is ongoing cost pressure from labor and core ingredients limiting margin flexibility.
The Crayola tie up sits alongside other recent initiatives that blend physical and digital engagement, such as the McDonaldland VR experience launched in 2025. Both efforts point to McDonald's leaning on brand IP and digital interaction to support menu and marketing innovation, which may matter as the company looks to sustain same store sales while managing risks around rising costs and intense competition.
Yet while these creative campaigns can help support the brand, investors should also be aware of the risk that sustained inflation in beef and labor could...
Read the full narrative on McDonald's (it's free!)
McDonald's narrative projects $30.6 billion revenue and $10.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and a $2.0 billion earnings increase from $8.4 billion today.
Uncover how McDonald's forecasts yield a $331.20 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Ten members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see McDonald's fair value between US$256 and US$331, with views spread across that range. Against this backdrop of differing opinions, the risk that rising input and labor costs could squeeze restaurant level margins is a key factor that may shape how the business performs and how those valuations evolve over time.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on McDonald's - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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