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3 Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 48.4% Below Intrinsic Value

Simply Wall St·01/05/2026 17:08:26
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As the U.S. stock market reaches new heights, driven by geopolitical events and a surge in energy shares, investors are increasingly looking for opportunities in undervalued stocks that may offer significant potential. In this environment, identifying stocks trading below their intrinsic value can be a strategic move for those seeking to capitalize on market inefficiencies and future growth prospects.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

Name Current Price Fair Value (Est) Discount (Est)
VTEX (VTEX) $3.63 $7.12 49%
Varonis Systems (VRNS) $32.04 $63.28 49.4%
Valley National Bancorp (VLY) $11.69 $22.99 49.2%
Perfect (PERF) $1.73 $3.44 49.7%
Investar Holding (ISTR) $26.21 $52.36 49.9%
Heritage Financial (HFWA) $23.70 $46.41 48.9%
Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) $47.71 $93.83 49.2%
CNB Financial (CCNE) $25.74 $50.61 49.1%
Clearfield (CLFD) $29.49 $58.19 49.3%
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) $20.16 $39.94 49.5%

Click here to see the full list of 186 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

BillionToOne (BLLN)

Overview: BillionToOne, Inc. is a precision diagnostics company that focuses on quantifying biology to develop molecular diagnostics, with a market cap of $4.09 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of $254.14 million from its Medical Labs & Research segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.2%

BillionToOne, Inc. appears undervalued, trading at US$89.29 against a fair value estimate of US$160.13, suggesting a 44.2% discount based on discounted cash flow analysis. Recent revenue growth of 92.2% and forecasted annual revenue increase of 26% outpace the broader market's expectations, while earnings are projected to grow by 86.3% annually over the next three years. Despite high share price volatility and low future return on equity forecasts (9.4%), its inclusion in major indices may enhance visibility and investor interest.

BLLN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026
BLLN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

Century Aluminum (CENX)

Overview: Century Aluminum Company, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the production and sale of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland, with a market cap of $3.82 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is generated from the production and sale of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products in both the United States and Iceland.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.4%

Century Aluminum is trading at US$40.94, significantly below its estimated fair value of US$79.36, highlighting a substantial undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite recent operational disruptions and declining profit margins from 14.6% to 3.2%, the company forecasts robust annual earnings growth of over 61%. However, debt coverage by operating cash flow remains inadequate, posing potential financial challenges amidst efforts to restart idle capacity and increase production by 50,000 metric tons at Mt. Holly smelter through a new power agreement extension with Santee Cooper until 2031.

CENX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026
CENX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

Flutter Entertainment (FLUT)

Overview: Flutter Entertainment plc is a sports betting and gaming company with operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, Italy, and other international markets; it has a market cap of approximately $38.19 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its operations in the US ($6.44 billion) and UKI ($3.63 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 43.7%

Flutter Entertainment, trading at US$218.27, is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value of US$387.37 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a net loss of US$690 million for Q3 2025 and goodwill impairment charges of US$517 million, the company is forecast to achieve profitability within three years with earnings growth projected at 43.38% annually. Recent share buybacks totaling 1.89% reflect strategic financial management amidst revenue guidance adjustments to a midpoint of $16.69 billion for 2025.

FLUT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026
FLUT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.