Assessing Apollo Global Management’s (APO) Valuation After Mixed Recent Returns And Undervalued Fair Value Estimate
Apollo Global Management (APO) is back in focus after recent trading, with the share price last closing at $146.61. For investors, the key questions now center on returns, earnings trends, and valuation.
See our latest analysis for Apollo Global Management.
Recent trading has been choppy, with a 1-day share price return of 1.28% and a 30-day share price return of 6.14%. However, the 1-year total shareholder return shows a decline of 12.08%, which contrasts with a very large 3-year total shareholder return that signals longer term momentum.
If Apollo’s moves have you thinking more broadly about financials and capital allocators, this could be a good moment to widen your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With Apollo trading at $146.61 and an indicated intrinsic value gap alongside mixed recent returns, the real question for you is simple: Is there still mispricing here, or is the market already baking in the next phase of growth?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 7.3% Undervalued
Against Apollo Global Management’s last close at $146.61, the most followed narrative points to a higher fair value anchored at $158.22, raising clear questions about what is built into those projections.
The company's strategic focus on the global industrial renaissance, particularly in areas like energy and infrastructure, is anticipated to significantly boost origination volumes, enhancing both revenue and earnings.
Curious what justifies a higher value with weaker top line expectations? The narrative leans on falling revenues, rising margins and a future earnings multiple that needs tight execution to hold.
Result: Fair Value of $158.22 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on clean execution. Any slip in integrating new initiatives or tougher competition in insurance spreads could quickly challenge the view that growth is currently underpriced.
Find out about the key risks to this Apollo Global Management narrative.
Build Your Own Apollo Global Management Narrative
If you are not fully aligned with this view or simply prefer to weigh the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised Apollo thesis in under three minutes, starting with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Apollo Global Management research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
Looking for more investment ideas?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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