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To own Advance Auto Parts, you have to believe its multi year turnaround can translate cost cuts and supply chain changes into durable profits, despite recent losses and weak sales trends. The ARGOS launch fits that thesis by leaning into value oriented, high margin owned brands, but it does not change the fact that the most important near term catalyst remains execution on store closures and distribution consolidation, while the biggest risk is continued margin pressure from restructuring costs and inventory clean up.
The ARGOS rollout also ties directly into Advance’s ongoing consolidation of its distribution centers from 38 to 12 by 2026, which is intended to simplify how products move from suppliers to stores. If that reorganization supports reliable availability of this new owned brand across Advance and Carquest locations, it could reinforce the broader effort to improve in stock depth, support customer satisfaction and help the company work through its transitory cost base more efficiently.
However, investors should be aware that the same store closures and inventory actions intended to reset the business could also...
Read the full narrative on Advance Auto Parts (it's free!)
Advance Auto Parts' narrative projects $9.0 billion revenue and $295.3 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Advance Auto Parts' forecasts yield a $54.30 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.
Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Advance Auto Parts span from US$6.94 to US$247.07, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you set those opinions against the ongoing margin drag from store closures and inventory adjustments, it underlines why you may want to compare several independent takes before forming a view on the company’s outlook.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Advance Auto Parts - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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