U.S. stock futures rose on Tuesday following Monday’s positive close. Futures of major benchmark indices were higher.
Investors are bracing for a heavy slate of data on Tuesday, headlined by a delayed data deluge of retail sales and employment costs that will serve as a critical compass for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
Meanwhile, on Monday, President Donald Trump acknowledged that his 2017 decision to pass over Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair was a "really big mistake," attributing the move to pressure from his former Treasury Secretary.
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.18%, and the two-year bond was at 3.48%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing an 82.3% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged in March.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.13% |
| S&P 500 | 0.18% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.15% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.26% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, were higher in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was up 0.23% at $695.56, while the QQQ advanced 0.26% to $615.91.
Materials, energy, and tech led the S&P 500 higher on Monday, while consumer staples and health care shares declined.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.040% | 50,135.87 |
| S&P 500 | 0.47% | 6,964.82 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.90% | 23,238.67 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.70% | 2,689.05 |
LPL Financial strategists Jeffrey Buchbinder and Adam Turnquist express a constructive outlook for the global economy, specifically highlighting the potential for Emerging Markets (EM) to continue their recent outperformance.
The strategists describe the 2026 environment as an “extended but aging expansion” where growth remains sturdy enough to support corporate earnings despite being uneven across different regions.
They anticipate that the U.S. economy will avoid a recession, fueled by “ongoing enthusiasm around AI and further easing of monetary policy from the Fed”. While they expect a modest slowdown in early 2026, they project a rebound later in the year as inflation continues to moderate.
Technically, Turnquist notes that the broad market’s long-term uptrend remains intact, though investors should brace for occasional volatility.
A major driver for their positive bias is the “avalanche of AI investment in Asia” and the U.S., with Buchbinder noting that “nothing is bigger than AI right now”. They specifically highlight that EM earnings are expected to grow by 29% in 2026, more than double the 14% projected for the U.S.
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on Tuesday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 0.12% to hover around $64.44 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.25% to hover around $5,046.29 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.03% higher at the 96.8440 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.89% lower at $69,203.57 per coin.
Asian markets closed higher on Tuesday, except Australia's ASX 200 index. India’s Nifty 50, Japan's Nikkei 225, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, China’s CSI 300, and South Korea's Kospi indices rose. European markets were mixed in early trade.
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